"Is this the outbreak of war between Japan and China?" Perhaps, you were surprised by reading this news. Some people were actually tricked by this fake news because it was on a webpage imitating the web design of the "Yahoo! Japan News" that is the largest portal site in Japan. People thought that this is a real news because of the logo of "Yahoo! News" and the credit of "Kyodo News." Nevertheless it is a fake, its stage setting still associates with the real circumstances in the East China Sea that this fake story is likely to turn into a "real news" anytime — the outbreak of the "Second China Incident" that may happen, perhaps tomorrow, or we are already in a war, seriously. This essay deals with the possible "Second China Incident" by corresponding the fake news to the real circumstances.
Some people just believed that this fake news is the real because its description quite resembles the real situation, not just by the appearance of the webpage.
The similar situation already happened in last month. The fake news is quite close to the situation in the East China Sea on September 9. Only the difference is that the Chinese destroyer did not bombard. The fake news is therefore not a complete fiction.
This description in the fake news is also close to real situation of another occasion. In late September, a Chinese military spy electronic warfare aircraft intruded into Japan's Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) and it made Japanese Air Self-Defense Force fighters scramble. The difference is just It was not a fighter but a Chinese spy aircraft invaded Japan's ADIZ.
Nuclear missiles aiming at Japan's major cities, seabed surveys in Japan's EEZ, intrusion into Japan's territorial waters by a nuclear-powered submarine, dispatching naval warships around the gas field exploitation near EEZ boundaries, a spy electronic warfare aircraft intruding into Japan's ADIZ, and proclamations to discredit Japan's sovereignty over Senkaku Islands (尖閣諸島) and Okinotori Island (沖ノ鳥島)... — these are all China has done in recent years. These violations have not been expanded into disputes because Japan always remains unruffled. If Japan does the exactly same violations against China, what will there happen? This kinds of China's violations against Japan surely caused war if it was some decades ago. Still in the current time, if China does the same things against other countries, it is definitely in danger of causing war. It is rather amazing that no conflicts have occurred so far between Japan and China.
The China Incident (支那事變) [Second Sino-Japanese War][*2] was not a "war" Japan wanted to be involved. When we look at every occasion in the history, we can find that Japan always tried to solve between local troops and not to expand battles beyond, and to reconcile in the early time. But China always broke cease-fire agreements, made "surprise attacks" and rejected reconciliations. As a result, Japan was trapped into the endless sequence of battles. Although Japan surpassed China in the military situation, Japan was suffered a stigma of a "defeated country" in the China Incident because Japan was defeated by the United States.
Let's go back to talk about the "Second China Incident." The recent circumstances (diplomatic relations and the Chinese military's activity) suggest quite possible that the outbreak of hostilities between Japan and China could happen any time. It can be triggered by an incidental accident like the fake Yahoo! News rather than starting as an officially declared war.
War without a declaration
= An incident
However, it is quite doubtful whether Japan is prepared to protect our country and people. It has been 60 years after the World War II and there are not many people who experienced the real war at all. Contrary, the Communist China has ever caused invasions and wars many times (invasions on such as Manchura, South Mongolia, East Turkestan and East Kashmir, and its military menace against Taiwan) that is truly an experienced aggressor. The great military power catching up to establish its status a century late, China is a paranoia nation that has been haunted by its megalomaniacs of Sinocentrism, Sino-imperialism and Sino-supremacism. The actual situation of Japan is not we can dream the "eternal peace." The possibility of the "Second China Incident" is not a delusion in the current circumstances and we have to be prepared to win the war to protect our country and people.
China and Russia Beijian 2005
There is definitely no guarantee whether a "war against China will never happen." If we always escape from confrontation with China, China will eventually dominates Japan. "War" can be caused unilaterally regardless people dream of the ideal of peace. No matter if we don't wish to be involved into a war, it already happened in the history. As long as we see things from a rational viewpoint, it is not hard to find the answer what we have to do in a certain situation. (Picture is a spot from the joint naval maneuvers of China and Russia, Beijian 2005 (北劍2005) on August 18-25, 2005 held in China's Liaodong Peninsula of the Yellow Sea. In general, this maneuvers is viewed as China's "rehearsal" for its military action against Taiwan. Since Japan was excluded from their invitations, this is also China's indication to regard "Japan as a hostile country."
*1. The fake Yahoo! News
Ex-programmer arrested for allegedly posting bogus storyNovember 28, 2005 5:00PM
TOKYO (AP) — Police arrested a former computer programmer Monday for allegedly publishing a fabricated news article on a fake Yahoo Japan news website saying China had invaded the Japanese island of Okinawa.
Metropolitan Police arrested Takahiro Yamamoto, 30, on suspicion of violating patent laws, said a police spokesman who spoke on condition of anonymity, citing departmental policy.
The office said Yamamoto allegedly accredited the fake article to Kyodo News Agency and published it on an Internet site that he had designed to look like Yahoo Japan Corp.'s news site.
The story was written in Japanese with a dateline "America, Oct. 18 Kyodo" followed by a headline saying "Chinese Military Invades Okinawa," the police said.
Police had confiscated Yamamoto's personal computer and analyzed the data stored in it.
Kyodo said both it and Yahoo had filed complaints to police in October.
The website was accessed 66,000 times until it was taken down on Oct. 19, Kyodo said, quoting police.
*2. China Incident and the Japano-Ch`ing War
The China Incident (支那事變; 1937-45) is internationally called the "Second Sino-Japanese War" because the previous war between Japan and Manchu China (Ch`ing Dynasty), Nisshin Sensô (日淸戰爭; Japano-Ch`ing War; Chinese: Sino-Japanese 1894 War 中日甲午戰爭;1894-95) has been counted as the "First Sino-Japanese War." However, the Japano-Ch`ing War is a war between Japan and Manchu Ch`ing and the China Incident is a full-scale military conflict between Japan and the Republic of China [Nationalist China] (中華民國) so these two wars are not counted as first and second in Japan.
Terms and Related information (Wikipedia Links)
- Jianghu class frigate (江湖)
- Chunxiao gas field (春曉)
- Sovremenniy class destroyer
- Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ)
- Han (漢) class nuclear-powered submarine
- China Incident (支那事變) (or Japano-Chinese Incident 日華事變; English: Second Sino-Japanese War; Chinese: War of Resistance Against Japan 抗日戰爭)
- Nansei Islands (南西諸島)